From a long-term strategic perspective, Turkey’s growing isolation in the Mediterranean set off alarm bells across the Turkish political spectrum. Thus, with de-escalating regional conflicts, Turkey seeks to heal self-wounds. READ MORE
Listen our panel with experts Hussein Ibish (The Arab Gulf States Institute in Washington), Andreas Krieg (King’s College London), and Nervana Mahmoud. The recording is available here
A frustrated Erdogan government seeks favors from both Washington and Moscow, and escalation of violence is a means to gain certain prizes from either side. READ MORE
Behind Turkey’s relentless bid is the perception of Afghanistan as a potential bargaining chip in Ankara’s relationship with the Biden Administration, which is grappling with an unexpected domestic public relations debacle. READ MORE
The panel discussion was one of the most watched videos by American University’s School of International Service channel. The recording is available here.
At The House of Wisdom, we had an engaging discussion with Noah Feldman on his book,The Arab Winter: A Tragedy. The book challenges the conventional wisdom and asks novel philosophical questions about most noble–and painfully tragic– series of events in which, for the first time in recent Middle Eastern history, Arabic-speaking peoples took free, collective action for their self-determination. Watch the podcast on YouTube
Unlike Trump’s transactional dealings with Erdoğan, Biden’s restoration of institutional dynamics will have a major impact on US-Turkey relations. READ MORE
There are strong indicators that Ankara has silently adopted a policy to compel Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) to moderate its position in exchange for Turkish support for international recognition as a legitimate opposition force. READ MORE
Seizing the opportunity to fill another vacuum in the geopolitical power game, Putin may lead an Astana-like process in Libya thanks to Erdoǧan. Driving a deeper rift between Turkey and European Union, Russia is also a geopolitical winner in such a scenario.
Turkish boots are now fully mobilized in the service of the Government of National Accord but escalating tensions in the Mediterranean over energy resources may actually harm both Ankara and Tripoli. READ MORE
Mustafa Gurbuz 